25th October MOTHERWELL - HEARTS

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• There is a clear but slim favourite here. Hearts is the shortest price on a book of 3.1 / 3.6 / 2.1 (1 / X / 2), an implied 44.2%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 30.0% / 25.8% / 44.2% on an overround of 7.7%.

• In the league table Motherwell sit 10th on 8 points (2W 2D 5L) with Hearts 3rd on 16 points (5W 1D 3L).

• Motherwell read L-L-L-L-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 0D 5L) — a badly out of sorts side.

• Hearts read L-L-D-W-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 2D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Head to head the record reads 0-4-2 — Motherwell wins, draws, then Hearts wins. Their last meeting finished Motherwell - Hearts: 0-5.

• Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Motherwell first, then Hearts, out of their last six: BEST-WORST (4 wins against 5 defeats).

• Motherwell lean hardest on Emmanuel Longelo (9.5), Tom Sparrow (9.5), Tawanda Maswanhise (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Hearts lean hardest on Calvin Miller (9.5), Beau Reus (9.5), Josh McPake (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Hearts at 2.1 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 24th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.