25th October NUERNBERG (W) - BAYER LEVERKUSEN (W)

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• This is priced as a mismatch. Bayer Leverkusen (w) is the shortest price on a book of 7.70 / 5.59 / 1.28 (1 / X / 2), an implied 71.7%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 11.9% / 16.4% / 71.7% on an overround of 9.0%.

• In the league table Nuernberg (w) sit 13th on 2 points (0W 2D 5L) with Bayer Leverkusen (w) 4th on 13 points (4W 1D 2L).

• Nuernberg (w) read L-L-L-L-D-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (0W 2D 4L) — poor.

• Bayer Leverkusen (w) read D-W-W-L-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 0-0-3 — Nuernberg (w) wins, draws, then Bayer Leverkusen (w) wins. Their last meeting finished Bayer Leverkusen (w) - Nuernberg (w): 4-0.

• Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Nuernberg (w) first, then Bayer Leverkusen (w), out of their last six: GG 6 and 6.

• The read: Bayer Leverkusen (w) at 1.28 is heavily fancied away from home. Backing a favourite at that price only makes sense on the handicap.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 24th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.