25th October TOULOUSE - TROYES

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• This is priced as a mismatch. Toulouse is the shortest price on a book of 1.63 / 4.37 / 5.10 (1 / X / 2), an implied 59.1%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 59.1% / 22.0% / 18.9% on an overround of 3.8%.

• In the league table Toulouse sit 12th on 9 points (2W 3D 2L) with Troyes 17th on 4 points (1W 1D 5L).

• Toulouse read W-D-W-D-L-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 3D 1L) — patchy.

• Troyes read L-L-L-L-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 0D 5L) — a badly out of sorts side.

• Toulouse lean hardest on Mark McKenzie (9.5), Thomas Joergensen (9.4), Cristian Casseres Jr. (8.8) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Troyes lean hardest on Mouhamed Diop (9.5), Michel Diaz (9.5), Adrien Monfray (9.3) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Toulouse at 1.63 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 24th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.