25th October SUNDERLAND - LEEDS

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• A narrow edge, nothing more. Leeds is the shortest price on a book of 3 / 3.2 / 2.5 (1 / X / 2), an implied 38.2%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 31.9% / 29.9% / 38.2% on an overround of 4.6%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.2 (29.9%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Sunderland sit 20th on 4 points (1W 1D 5L) with Leeds 7th on 10 points (2W 4D 1L).

• Sunderland read D-L-W-L-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Leeds read D-L-D-W-D-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 4D 1L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 1-2-3 — Sunderland wins, draws, then Leeds wins. Their last meeting finished Leeds - Sunderland: 1-0.

• Sunderland lean hardest on Kevin Danso (9.5), Nilson Angulo (9.3), Nordi Mukiele (9.1) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Leeds lean hardest on James Trafford (9.5), Dominic Calvert-Lewin (9.3), Jayden Bogle (9.3) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 3.2 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 24th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.