5th May Match Of the Day

Others

Match Stats

Juventus are coming into this match on the back of a 1-0 victory away at Sampdoria and they have now secured their 4th Serie A title in a row. Juve also fielded a weakened side for this match.

Juventus top the table on 79 points and they are 15 points ahead of second place Roma.

Juve’s recent domestic home record reads a very solid looking W13, D2, L0.

When facing the Top 6 Serie A sides at home again Juve are completely dominant boasting a W9, D1, L0 record.

Juve also have a positive home record when it comes to the Champions League which reads W6, D3, L1. However looking at their recent record it does suggest that they struggle to beat the elite European sides.

Since 2000 this is the fourth time these two sides have met in this competition in Turin and the record reads Juventus 3 wins, 1 draw and Real Madrid 0 wins.

Real Madrid are coming into this match in some reasonable form and after a very good 3-2 victory at Sevilla over the weekend they currently sit in 2nd  place on 85 points which is 2 points behind Barcelona.

Real Madrid’s domestic away form reads a very strong looking W11, D0, L4. When facing the Top 6 sides away from home then Real’s away record is not that great and reads W3, D2, L5. Indeed Real have lost at Barcelona, Valencia and Atletico this season.

When it comes to Europe the Champions boast a decent record which reads W7, D2, L1.

Goal Stats

As far as goals are concerned then if we look at both sides' last 10 Champions League home and away games, then 3 or more goals have been seen in 10 matches, 2 goals have been seen in 6 and 1 or less goals in 4 matches. When looking at Real Madrid’s domestic away record against the top 6 sides then 9 have seen 3 or more goals with no games containing 1 or less goals. Looking at Juventus, when hosting the top Serie A sides then only 1 of their last 10 has seen 1 or less goals.

Prediction

This should be an excellent match up and Juventus have certainly had the better of the meetings in Turin. My ratings suggest that there is some value both in the goal and match line. When looking at both sides' recent form especially in Europe and domestically then Over 2 goals certainly looks to offer value especially when you consider that in both sides' last 10 respective home and away games to the elite sides only 1 of the 20 games contained 1 or less goals. For my trade I am going to turn to the match line where despite not winning in Turin in 4 recent meetings and also losing away at 3 of the top Spanish sides this season. My ratings suggest value with the European Champions and they look a decent bet off scratch on the handicap. 

Analysis and Prediction from MATCHBOOK


Category: Others

Written by: Matchbook

Date: 14:30 05 May, 2015