GIMNASIA MENDOZA - NEWELL S OLD BOYS
There is a clear but slim favourite here. Gimnasia Mendoza is the shortest price on a book of 2.32 / 2.85 / 3.50 (1 / X / 2), an implied 40.4%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 40.4% / 32.9% / 26.8% on an overround of 6.8%.
The draw is unusually well backed at 2.85 (32.9%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.
Money has come for over 2.5 goals: the price has shortened from 2.57 to 2.42, a move of 6.2%. Steam like that on the day of the game usually reflects team news the wider market has not caught up with yet.
In the league table Gimnasia Mendoza sit 7th on 17 points (5W 2D 4L) with Newell S Old Boys 6th on 17 points (4W 5D 2L).
Gimnasia Mendoza read L-D-L-D-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 2D 2L) — patchy.
Newell S Old Boys read D-W-D-D-D-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 4D 0L) — patchy.
Head to head the record reads 0-0-1 — Gimnasia Mendoza wins, draws, then Newell S Old Boys wins. Their last meeting finished Newell S Old Boys - Gimnasia Mendoza: 1-0.
Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Gimnasia Mendoza first, then Newell S Old Boys, out of their last six: HT U 1.50 4 and 6.
Gimnasia Mendoza lean hardest on Diego Mondino (9.5), Matias Recalde (9.5), Ezequiel Munoz (9.1) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
The read: Gimnasia Mendoza at 2.32 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it. The late money is pointing the same way.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 16:00 on 12th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.