RADOMIAK RADOM - MOTOR LUBLIN
Bookmakers have this as close to a coin toss as the 1X2 market gets. Radomiak Radom is the shortest price on a book of 2.4 / 3.3 / 2.6 (1 / X / 2), an implied 37.7%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 37.7% / 27.4% / 34.8% on an overround of 10.4%.
The draw is unusually well backed at 3.3 (27.4%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.
Liquidity is strong — €11,158 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
Our monitoring has flagged unusual money on this game: 69% of the matched volume has gone on the draw. Treat it as a signal to look closer, not as a tip in itself.
The Asian market is quoting a level line, split 1.95 / 1.93 — as even a handicap as you will see.
In the league table Radomiak Radom sit 15th on 8 points (2W 2D 5L) with Motor Lublin 16th on 6 points (1W 3D 5L).
Radomiak Radom read L-L-D-W-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 2D 3L) — more bad than good.
Motor Lublin read D-L-L-L-D-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 2D 3L) — more bad than good.
Head to head the record reads 0-2-4 — Radomiak Radom wins, draws, then Motor Lublin wins. Their last meeting finished Radomiak Radom - Motor Lublin: 1-1.
Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Radomiak Radom first, then Motor Lublin, out of their last six: HT DRAW 3 and 5.
Radomiak Radom lean hardest on Filip Majchrowicz (9.5), Kryspin Szczesniak (8.9), Jan Grzesik (8.2) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Motor Lublin lean hardest on Ivo Rodrigues (9.5), Karol Czubak (9.5), Mateusz Legowski (8.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Played at Stadion Radomiaka Radom, capacity 5,000. Tomasz Kwiatkowski takes charge.
The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 3.3 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 16:30 on 12th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.