BENFICA - VITORIA DE GUIMARAES
A heavy favourite, with the price to match. Benfica is the shortest price on a book of 1.22 / 6.79 / 12.61 (1 / X / 2), an implied 78.3%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 78.3% / 14.1% / 7.6% on an overround of 4.6%.
Liquidity is strong — €66,771 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
In the league table Benfica sit 4th on 16 points (5W 1D 1L) with Vitoria De Guimaraes 14th on 5 points (1W 2D 4L).
Benfica read L-W-W-W-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (5W 0D 1L) — about as good as form gets.
Vitoria De Guimaraes read D-L-D-L-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 2D 3L) — more bad than good.
Head to head the record reads 4-0-0 — Benfica wins, draws, then Vitoria De Guimaraes wins. Their last meeting finished Benfica - Vitoria De Guimaraes: 3-0.
Benfica team news: Clement Lenglet will be absent for the Vitoria de Guimaraes game, as he is serving a one-match ban.
Benfica team news: Benfica's injury list this weekend includes five players, among them Alexander Bah and Jakub Kaminski.
Vitoria De Guimaraes team news: Alioune Ndoye is still suspended for Vitoria de Guimaraes after receiving a red card in gameweek six.
Vitoria De Guimaraes team news: Gustavo Silva is likely to miss out after picking up an injury during the first half against Moreirense.
Benfica are without 6 — Alexander Bah (Out - injured), Leandro Barreiro (Out - injured), Clément Lenglet (Out - suspended), Heorhiy Sudakov (Out - injured), Enzo Barrenechea (Out - injured), Jakub Kaminski (Out - injured).
Vitoria De Guimaraes are without 2 — Gustavo Silva (Doubtful - injured), Alioune Ndoye (Out - suspended).
Early lineups are in: Benfica set up 4-2-3-1 against 4-2-3-1. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.
Benfica lean hardest on Rafa (9.5), Vangelis Pavlidis (9.5), Samuel Soares (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Alexander Bah is out for Benfica — index 8.4, against 9.1 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Leandro Barreiro is out for Benfica — index 8.5, against 9.2 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Clément Lenglet is out for Benfica — index 8.5, against 9.1 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Heorhiy Sudakov is out for Benfica — index 6.5, against 9.2 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Enzo Barrenechea is out for Benfica — index 5.8, against 9.2 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Jakub Kaminski is out for Benfica — index 6.9, against 9.2 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Vitoria De Guimaraes lean hardest on Arnel Jakupovic (6.6), Alan (6.6), Toni Borevkovic (6.6) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Gustavo Silva is out for Vitoria De Guimaraes — index 9.5, against 8.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Noticeable.
Alioune Ndoye is out for Vitoria De Guimaraes — index 7.1, against 8.0 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
The projected score for this one is Benfica 3 - 0 Vitoria De Guimaraes, a home win by 3 with 3 goals in it — on the right side of the 2.5 line.
The read: Benfica at 1.22 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 13:30 on 11th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.