MOTHERWELL - CELTIC
The market expects a one-sided afternoon. Celtic is the shortest price on a book of 5.25 / 4.75 / 1.46 (1 / X / 2), an implied 63.1%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 17.5% / 19.4% / 63.1% on an overround of 8.6%.
Motherwell to win has drifted from 4.69 to 5.19 (9.6%). Layers are happy to take that side on, which is worth respecting.
Liquidity is strong — €60,116 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
In the league table Motherwell sit 9th on 8 points (2W 2D 3L) with Celtic 2nd on 18 points (6W 0D 1L).
Motherwell read L-L-L-W-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 1D 4L) — poor.
Celtic read L-L-L-W-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 0D 3L) — patchy.
Head to head the record reads 1-0-5 — Motherwell wins, draws, then Celtic wins. Their last meeting finished Motherwell - Celtic: 2-3.
Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Motherwell first, then Celtic, out of their last six: HT GG 3 and 4.
Motherwell are without 5 — John Koutroumbis (Doubtful - injured), Paul McGinn (Doubtful - injured), Jordan McGhee (Doubtful - injured), Callum Hendry (Doubtful - injured), Oscar Priestman (Doubtful - injured).
Celtic are without 3 — Jota (Out - injured), Alistair Johnston (Out - injured), Callum Osmand (Doubtful - injured).
Early lineups are in: Motherwell set up 4-2-3-1 against 4-2-3-1. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.
Motherwell lean hardest on Emmanuel Longelo (9.5), Tom Sparrow (9.5), Tawanda Maswanhise (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Celtic lean hardest on Kieran Tierney (9.5), Cameron Carter-Vickers (9.5), Benjamin Nygren (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
The projected score for this one is Motherwell 0 - 2 Celtic, an away win by 2 with 2 goals in it — short of the 2.5 line.
The read: Celtic at 1.46 is heavily fancied away from home. Backing a favourite at that price only makes sense on the handicap.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 11:50 on 11th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.