NOTTINGHAM FOREST - COVENTRY
This is priced as a mismatch. Nottingham Forest is the shortest price on a book of 1.57 / 4 / 5.75 (1 / X / 2), an implied 60.0%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 60.0% / 23.6% / 16.4% on an overround of 6.1%.
Liquidity is strong — €42,904 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
In the league table Nottingham Forest sit 11th on 5 points (1W 2D 1L) with Coventry 20th on 0 points (0W 0D 4L).
Nottingham Forest read W-D-D-L-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 3D 2L) — patchy.
Coventry read L-L-L-L-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 0D 4L) — poor.
Head to head the record reads 4-0-2 — Nottingham Forest wins, draws, then Coventry wins. Their last meeting finished Nottingham Forest - Coventry: 2-0.
Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Nottingham Forest first, then Coventry, out of their last six: NG 3 and 6.
Coventry lean hardest on Matt Grimes (9.5), Ephron Mason-Clark (9.5), Jay DaSilva (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
The read: Nottingham Forest at 1.57 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 18:00 on 18th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.