Match Stats
Atlético Madrid are coming into this game in some reasonable form in La Liga, although it is extremely unlikely that they will retain their title.
Currently Atlético sit in 3rd place on 66 points after 31 games, which is 9 points behind leaders Barcelona.
Atlético’s recent domestic home record reads a very solid looking W12, D2, L1.
When facing the Top 6 La Liga sides at home Atletico boast a very resilient record which reads W6, D4, L0.
Atlético also have a positive home record when it comes to the Champions League which reads W9, D1, L0. Indeed they have also kept clean sheets in 6 consecutive matches.
Looking at the recent head-to head matches in all competitions it reads Atlético 3 wins, 1 Draw and Real Madrid 1 win.
Real Madrid are also having a very good season sitting in 2nd place just 2 points behind leaders Barcelona. Real’s recent domestic away record reads W11, D0, L4
When it comes to the Champions League Carlo Ancelotti’s side boast a very strong away record which reads W8, D1, L1
Goal Stats
As far as goals are concerned then if we look at both sides recent respective last 10 Champions League home and away games. Then 3 or more goals have been seen in 11 matches, 2 goals have been seen in 2 and 1 or less goals in 5. When looking at Atlético’s domestic home record against the Top 6 sides then 7 games have seen 3 or more goals with only 1 game containing 1 or less goals. In the case of Real when visiting the Spanish elite sides then 9 have seen 3 or more goals and none have seen 1 or less goals scored.
Summary
This should be another magnificent occasion at the Vicente Calderon and my ratings suggest that there is value both in the match and goal lines. Looking at the recent head-to-head matches and European form there certainly looks value in backing overs on the goal line. However I am very aware of Atlético’s strong defensive record at the Vicente Calderon. Instead for my trade I am going to turn to the match line. Since 1993 the 2 sides have met 24 times at Atlético with the home side winning just 4. Three of these victories have come in their last 3 meetings. Atlético have also been extremely consistent at home to the top Spanish sides where they have not lost hosting a top 6 side in 12 home matches. Whereas Real's away form to the top Spanish sides has been patchy and they have also lost 3 of their last 5 domestic away matches.