Key game at Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan Stadium at Seville


Sevilla are coming into this match in some excellent form. After beating Levante 2-1 last weekend, they have now won their last 5 league matches on the bounce. Sevilla currently sit in 5th place on 61 points, and they are level on points with 4th place Valencia. Sevilla’s recent home record reads an extremely solid-looking W11, D4, L0.

When playing La Liga's elite sides, Sevilla again have a very solid record which reads W2, D2, L6, and Valencia can be backed at around a value-looking 5.72

The recent head-to-head record in Seville is dominated by the away side and reads Seville 0 Wins, 1 Draw, and Barcelona 4 Wins. 

If you do fancy Seville to do well here, then you can keep the 1 goal loss on your side and Sevilla can be backed on the +1.0 Asian Handicap at around 2.00.

The draw can be backed at around 4.70, and this looks to offer some decent value.

Barcelona are coming into this game on the back of a routine 4-0 victory over Almeria and currently they top the table on 74 points, which is 4 ahead of Real Madrid. Barcelona have also won 6 away matches on the bounce and their recent away record reads a very solid-looking W11, D2, L2.

When facing teams of Sevilla’s stature, Barcelona’s record reads again a good-looking W6, D2, L2, and Barcelona can be backed at around 1.59. Looking at my ratings this does not look to offer any value.

Looking at my ratings, and with the goal line set at 3.0/3.5, it suggests that there is some value in backing unders. When looking at Sevilla’s last 15 home games, 9 have seen 2 or less goals scored, with only 4 seeing 4 or more goals. In the case of Barcelona, 8 of the last 14 have seen 2 or less goals, and 6 have seen 4 or more goals scored. Under 3.0/3.5 Goals can be backed at around 1.98.

This looks an excellent match with a lot to play for. My ratings suggest value in the match and goal lines. Looking at the goals, there is certainly value in Under 3.0/3.5 Goals. However, it should be noted that this is based on both side's excellent home and away defensive record. For my trade I am going to turn to the match line. Barcelona do have a very good record when visiting Sevilla. However, Sevilla have certainly improved from last season and they have now gone 23 home games undefeated. In the case of Barcelona, when away to top 6 sides they have won only 1 of their last 10 matches by 2 or more goals.

My recommended trade is Sevilla +1.0 at around 2.00.

Category: Predictions

Written by: Matchbook

Date: 17:35 09 Apr, 2015