5th September DANUBIO - CLUB ATLETICO PENAROL

The market expects a one-sided afternoon. Club Atletico Penarol is the shortest price on a book of 4.88 / 3.65 / 1.70 (1 / X / 2), an implied 55.1%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 19.2% / 25.7% / 55.1% on an overround of 6.7%.

In the league table Danubio sit 14th on 2 points (0W 2D 2L) with Club Atletico Penarol 11th on 4 points (1W 1D 1L).

Danubio read L-D-D-L-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (0W 3D 3L) — more bad than good.

Club Atletico Penarol read L-D-W-W-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (4W 1D 1L) — a strong recent run.

Head to head the record reads 0-0-2 — Danubio wins, draws, then Club Atletico Penarol wins. Their last meeting finished Club Atletico Penarol - Danubio: 2-0.

Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Danubio first, then Club Atletico Penarol, out of their last six: U 1.50 5 and 3.

The read: Club Atletico Penarol at 1.70 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 04:36 on 4th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.