LYON - AUXERRE
This is priced as a mismatch. Lyon is the shortest price on a book of 1.50 / 4.20 / 6.50 (1 / X / 2), an implied 63.0%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 63.0% / 22.5% / 14.5% on an overround of 5.9%.
Liquidity is strong — €10,047 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
In the league table Lyon sit 4th on 4 points (1W 1D 0L) with Auxerre 18th on 0 points (0W 0D 2L).
Lyon read D-L-W-D-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 2D 2L) — patchy.
Auxerre read L-L-W-W-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 0D 3L) — patchy.
Head to head the record reads 3-2-1 — Lyon wins, draws, then Auxerre wins. Their last meeting finished Lyon - Auxerre: 3-2.
Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Lyon first, then Auxerre, out of their last six: GG 5 and 5.
Lyon team news: Lyon could be without just one player against Auxerre this weekend.
Lyon team news: Julien Duranville returned to training this weekend after missing the last two games, so he's a doubt for this one.
Auxerre team news: Auxerre have a number of players unavailable for this game.
Auxerre team news: Assane Diousse, Axel Tuanzebe, Francisco Sierralta, Sekou Fofana, Bryan Okoh, and Marvin Senaya are ruled out.
Lyon are without 1 — Julien Duranville (Doubtful - injured).
Auxerre are without 7 — Assane Dioussé (Out - injured), Sékou Fofana (Out - injured), Bryan Okoh (Out - injured), Marvin Senaya (Out - injured), Axel Tuanzebe (Out - injured), Francisco Sierralta (Out - injured).
Early lineups are in: Lyon set up 4-2-3-1 against 4-3-3. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.
The projected score for this one is Lyon 2 - 0 Auxerre, a home win by 2 with 2 goals in it — short of the 2.5 line.
The read: Lyon at 1.50 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 22:30 on 3rd September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.