17th October DUNFERMLINE - LIVINGSTON

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• Bookmakers have this as close to a coin toss as the 1X2 market gets. Livingston is the shortest price on a book of 2.50 / 3.30 / 2.40 (1 / X / 2), an implied 37.2%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 35.7% / 27.1% / 37.2% on an overround of 12.0%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.30 (27.1%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Dunfermline sit 5th on 13 points (3W 4D 1L) with Livingston 4th on 13 points (4W 1D 5L).

• Dunfermline read D-W-W-D-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 2D 1L) — patchy.

• Livingston read L-L-W-D-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Head to head the record reads 3-2-1 — Dunfermline wins, draws, then Livingston wins. Their last meeting finished Dunfermline - Livingston: 1-0.

• The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 3.30 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 16th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.