DEPORTIVO LA CORUNA - LEVANTE
This is priced as a comfortable favourite. Deportivo La Coruna is the shortest price on a book of 2.05 / 3.5 / 3.6 (1 / X / 2), an implied 46.4%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 46.4% / 27.2% / 26.4% on an overround of 5.1%.
The draw is unusually well backed at 3.5 (27.2%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.
Liquidity is strong — €16,384 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
In the league table Deportivo La Coruna sit 8th on 10 points (2W 4D 2L) with Levante 17th on 6 points (1W 3D 3L).
Deportivo La Coruna read L-D-L-D-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 2D 2L) — patchy.
Levante read D-L-L-D-W-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 3D 2L) — patchy.
Head to head the record reads 0-2-4 — Deportivo La Coruna wins, draws, then Levante wins. Their last meeting finished Deportivo La Coruna - Levante: 1-2.
Deportivo La Coruna team news: Lorenzo Amatucci will miss out after his dismissal in the game with Real Sociedad.
Deportivo La Coruna team news: Marc Casado is sidelined with a broken collarbone and is unlikely to return until mid-December.
Levante team news: Hugo Sotelo is uncertain with a knee sprain.
Levante team news: Karl Etta Eyong is also a doubt due to a thigh injury, though he has resumed partial training with the squad.
Deportivo La Coruna are without 4 — Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (Out - injured), Lorenzo Amatucci (Out - suspended), Zakaria Eddahchouri (Doubtful - injured), Marc Casadó (Out - injured). Losing Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (7.35/10) is the kind of absence that moves a price.
Levante are without 3 — Álex Primo (Doubtful - injured), Karl Etta Eyong (Doubtful - injured), Hugo Sotelo (Doubtful - injured).
Early lineups are in: Deportivo La Coruna set up 4-2-3-1 against 4-2-3-1. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.
Deportivo La Coruna lean hardest on Ximo Navarro (9.5), Giacomo Quagliata (9.5), Mario Soriano (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is out for Deportivo La Coruna — index 9.1, against 8.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Noticeable.
Lorenzo Amatucci is out for Deportivo La Coruna — index 8.2, against 8.7 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Marc Casadó is out for Deportivo La Coruna — index 6.9, against 8.7 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Levante lean hardest on Oriol Rey (8.2), Manu Sánchez (8.2), Adrián de la Fuente (8.2) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Hugo Sotelo is out for Levante — index 6.6, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
The projected score for this one is Deportivo La Coruna 2 - 1 Levante, a home win by 1 with 3 goals in it — on the right side of the 2.5 line.
The read: Deportivo La Coruna at 2.05 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 16th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.