17th October CARRARESE - MODENA

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• The market has a firm view on this one. Modena is the shortest price on a book of 4.50 / 3.40 / 1.76 (1 / X / 2), an implied 52.4%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 20.5% / 27.1% / 52.4% on an overround of 8.5%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.40 (27.1%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Carrarese sit 17th on 4 points (1W 1D 4L) with Modena 3rd on 13 points (4W 1D 1L).

• Carrarese read W-L-L-L-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 1D 4L) — poor.

• Modena read W-W-D-L-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (4W 1D 1L) — a strong recent run.

• Head to head the record reads 2-1-3 — Carrarese wins, draws, then Modena wins. Their last meeting finished Modena - Carrarese: 2-0.

• Modena lean hardest on Leandro Chichizola (9.5), Giuseppe Caso (9.4), Steven Nador (9.2) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Modena at 1.76 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 16th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.