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17th October ATHLETICO PARANAENSE - PALMEIRAS

PREVIEW

  • Sat 23:30 Athletico Paranaense Vs Palmeiras
  • Game for: 31st round of Serie A
  • Last Game: Palmeiras - Athletico Paranaense: 1-0
  • History of Games: 0-0-1

Standing

PTeamWDLPtsForm
3Athletico Paranaense158753WDWDLD
2Palmeiras189363WWWDLW

3rd (IN SERIE A )

  • League : This is the 16th home game this season.
  • Home Record : 9W - 5D - 1L
  • Last Game : Chapecoense Af - Athletico Paranaense: 1-4
  • Next Game : 24 Oct Vitoria - Athletico Paranaense

2nd (IN SERIE A )

  • League : This is the 16th away game this season.
  • Away Record : 7W - 6D - 2L
  • Last Game : Palmeiras - Corinthians: 4-1
  • Next Game : 22 Oct Palmeiras - Fluminense

KEY STATS BASED ON LAST 6 GAMES

  • HT GG
    YYYYYN
    Athletico Paranaense23:30Palmeiras
    NYNNNN

Odds

Athletico Paranaense Win: 3.00

DRAW: 3.40

Palmeiras Win: 2.32

Prices are indicative and sourced from a range of bookmakers, and may differ from those of any individual bookmaker.

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Game Analysis

  • There is a clear but slim favourite here. Palmeiras is the shortest price on a book of 3.00 / 3.40 / 2.32 (1 / X / 2), an implied 40.7%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 31.5% / 27.8% / 40.7% on an overround of 5.8%.

  • The draw is unusually well backed at 3.40 (27.8%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

  • In the league table Athletico Paranaense sit 3rd on 53 points (15W 8D 7L) with Palmeiras 2nd on 63 points (18W 9D 3L).

  • Athletico Paranaense read W-D-W-D-L-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 3D 1L) — patchy.

  • Palmeiras read W-W-W-D-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (4W 1D 1L) — a strong recent run.

  • Head to head the record reads 0-0-1 — Athletico Paranaense wins, draws, then Palmeiras wins. Their last meeting finished Palmeiras - Athletico Paranaense: 1-0.

  • Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Athletico Paranaense first, then Palmeiras, out of their last six: HT GG 5 and 1.

  • Athletico Paranaense lean hardest on Stiven Mendoza (9.5), Mycael (9.5), Arthur Dias (9.2) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

  • Palmeiras lean hardest on Carlos Miguel (9.5), Andreas Pereira (8.8), Agustin Giay (8.6) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

  • The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 3.40 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.

  • This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 16th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.


Category: Previews

Written by: BTFNews

Date: 06:50 16 Oct, 2026