17th October SKENDERBEU - ELBASANI

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• There is a clear but slim favourite here. Elbasani is the shortest price on a book of 3.26 / 3.22 / 1.98 (1 / X / 2), an implied 45.0%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 27.3% / 27.7% / 45.0% on an overround of 12.2%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.22 (27.7%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Skenderbeu sit 10th on 3 points (0W 3D 3L) with Elbasani 5th on 7 points (1W 4D 1L).

• Skenderbeu read L-D-D-L-L-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (0W 3D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Elbasani read D-D-W-L-D-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 4D 1L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 0-3-1 — Skenderbeu wins, draws, then Elbasani wins. Their last meeting finished Elbasani - Skenderbeu: 0-0.

• Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Skenderbeu first, then Elbasani, out of their last six: DRAW 3 and 4.

• The read: Elbasani at 1.98 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 16th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.