15th October AZ ALKMAAR - HAPOEL BEER SHEVA

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• This is priced as a mismatch. Az Alkmaar is the shortest price on a book of 1.3 / 5.75 / 9 (1 / X / 2), an implied 73.0%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 73.0% / 16.5% / 10.5% on an overround of 5.4%.

• In the league table Az Alkmaar sit 27th on 0 points (0W 0D 1L) with Hapoel Beer Sheva 17th on 1 point (0W 1D 0L).

• Az Alkmaar read L-W-L-D-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.

• Hapoel Beer Sheva read D-L-W-W-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (4W 1D 1L) — a strong recent run.

• Az Alkmaar lean hardest on Peer Koopmeiners (9.5), Wouter Goes (9.4), Mexx Meerdink (9.4) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Az Alkmaar at 1.3 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 14th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.