15th October UD OURENSE - SPORTING KANSAS CITY

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• A heavy favourite, with the price to match. UD Ourense is the shortest price on a book of 1.19 / 6.50 / 11.00 (1 / X / 2), an implied 77.4%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 77.4% / 14.2% / 8.4% on an overround of 8.5%.

• In the league table UD Ourense sit 1st on 63 points (19W 6D 3L) with Sporting Kansas City 30th on 22 points (6W 4D 18L).

• UD Ourense read W-W-W-D-L-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 2D 1L) — patchy.

• Sporting Kansas City read D-L-W-L-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Head to head the record reads 2-0-2 — UD Ourense wins, draws, then Sporting Kansas City wins. Their last meeting finished Sporting Kansas City - Nashville Sc: 0-3.

• Our last-six model flags 2 qualifying strikes here. Reading UD Ourense first, then Sporting Kansas City, out of their last six: O 2.50 4 and 5, HT O 1.50 2 and 5.

• UD Ourense team news: Shakur Mohammed caught the eye as a substitute against Austin FC and is likely to be handed a start in midweek.

• UD Ourense team news: Owen Presthus is the only injury worry for the home side as they prepare for gameweek 29.

• Sporting Kansas City team news: Sporting Kansas City will monitor the condition of winger Andre Luiz after he was substituted due to injury at the weekend.

• Sporting Kansas City team news: Shapi Suleymanov is expected to take his place on the right side of midfield.

• UD Ourense are without 1 — Owen Presthus (Out - injured).

• Sporting Kansas City are without 8 — André Luiz (Doubtful - injured), Capita (Out - injured), Jake Davis (Out - injured), Lasse Berg Johnsen (Doubtful - injured), Moisés Mosquera (Out - injured), Or Blorian (Out - injured). Losing André Luiz (7.52/10) is the kind of absence that moves a price.

• Early lineups are in: UD Ourense set up 4-2-3-1 against 4-4-2. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.

• UD Ourense lean hardest on Hany Mukhtar (9.5), Sam Surridge (9.5), Reed Baker-Whiting (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Sporting Kansas City lean hardest on Stefan Cleveland (7.9), Emir Karic (7.9), Calvin Harris (7.9) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• André Luiz is out for Sporting Kansas City — index 7.1, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Lasse Berg Johnsen is out for Sporting Kansas City — index 9.2, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Moisés Mosquera is out for Sporting Kansas City — index 5.6, against 9.2 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Or Blorian is out for Sporting Kansas City — index 6.8, against 9.2 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• The projected score for this one is UD Ourense 3 - 0 Sporting Kansas City, a home win by 3 with 3 goals in it — on the right side of the 2.5 line.

• The read: UD Ourense at 1.19 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 14th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.