15th October LECH POZNAN - BAYER LEVERKUSEN

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• This is priced as a mismatch. Bayer Leverkusen is the shortest price on a book of 5 / 4.2 / 1.62 (1 / X / 2), an implied 58.5%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 19.0% / 22.6% / 58.5% on an overround of 5.5%.

• In the league table Lech Poznan sit 35th on 0 points (0W 0D 1L) with Bayer Leverkusen 9th on 3 points (1W 0D 0L).

• Lech Poznan read W-W-L-L-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (4W 0D 2L) — a strong recent run.

• Bayer Leverkusen read W-W-W-D-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (4W 1D 1L) — a strong recent run.

• Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Lech Poznan first, then Bayer Leverkusen, out of their last six: O 3.50 3 and 4.

• Lech Poznan lean hardest on Mateusz Lis (9.5), Joel Pereira (9.2), Radoslaw Murawski (8.4) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Bayer Leverkusen lean hardest on Mark Flekken (9.5), Facundo Medina (9.2), Ezequiel Fernandez (8.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Bayer Leverkusen at 1.62 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 14th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.