15th October LEONES - PATRIOTAS

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• There is a clear but slim favourite here. Patriotas is the shortest price on a book of 3.26 / 2.97 / 2.30 (1 / X / 2), an implied 40.3%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 28.4% / 31.2% / 40.3% on an overround of 7.8%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 2.97 (31.2%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Leones sit 16th on 11 points (2W 5D 5L) with Patriotas 5th on 18 points (5W 3D 4L).

• Leones read D-D-L-L-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (0W 3D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Patriotas read D-L-L-L-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Head to head the record reads 0-0-2 — Leones wins, draws, then Patriotas wins. Their last meeting finished Leones - Patriotas: 0-1.

• The read: Patriotas at 2.30 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 14th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.