11th October ALMERIA - LEGANES

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• The market expects a one-sided afternoon. Almeria is the shortest price on a book of 1.65 / 4.12 / 5.12 (1 / X / 2), an implied 58.0%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 58.0% / 23.2% / 18.7% on an overround of 4.4%.

• In the league table Almeria sit 3rd on 18 points (6W 0D 2L) with Leganes 14th on 11 points (3W 2D 3L).

• Almeria read W-W-W-W-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (5W 0D 1L) — about as good as form gets.

• Leganes read L-L-W-L-D-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Head to head the record reads 3-1-2 — Almeria wins, draws, then Leganes wins. Their last meeting finished Almeria - Leganes: 2-1.

• Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Almeria first, then Leganes, out of their last six: NG 4 and 5.

• Almeria lean hardest on Andres Fernandez (9.5), Federico Bonini (8.6), Marcos Luna (8.4) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Leganes lean hardest on Yassine Kechta (9.5), Naim Garcia (9.5), Lalo Aguilar (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Almeria at 1.65 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 22:30 on 10th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.