11th October CSKA MOSCOW - RODINA

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• This is priced as a mismatch. Cska Moscow is the shortest price on a book of 1.38 / 5.48 / 7.16 (1 / X / 2), an implied 69.2%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 69.2% / 17.4% / 13.3% on an overround of 4.7%.

• In the league table Cska Moscow sit 4th on 19 points (5W 4D 0L) with Rodina 15th on 5 points (1W 2D 6L).

• Cska Moscow read W-D-W-D-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (4W 2D 0L) — a strong recent run.

• Rodina read D-L-L-L-L-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (0W 2D 4L) — poor.

• Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Cska Moscow first, then Rodina, out of their last six: HT DRAW 4 and 5.

• Cska Moscow lean hardest on Ivan Oblyakov (9.5), Danil Krugovoy (9.5), Joao Victor (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Rodina lean hardest on Yordy Reyna (9.5), Artem Maksimenko (8.9), German Onugha (8.8) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Cska Moscow at 1.38 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 22:30 on 10th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.