11th October EXCELSIOR - FC GRONINGEN

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• Bookmakers have this as close to a coin toss as the 1X2 market gets. Excelsior is the shortest price on a book of 2.55 / 3.60 / 2.55 (1 / X / 2), an implied 36.9%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 36.9% / 26.2% / 36.9% on an overround of 6.2%.

• In the league table Excelsior sit 7th on 11 points (3W 2D 2L) with Fc Groningen 8th on 11 points (3W 2D 2L).

• Excelsior read D-L-D-W-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 2D 2L) — patchy.

• Fc Groningen read W-D-D-L-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 2D 2L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 2-0-1 — Excelsior wins, draws, then Fc Groningen wins. Their last meeting finished Fc Groningen - Excelsior: 2-3.

• Our last-six model flags 2 qualifying strikes here. Reading Excelsior first, then Fc Groningen, out of their last six: O 2.50 6 and 5, GG 5 and 5.

• Excelsior lean hardest on Stijn Van Gassel (9.5), Casper Widell (9.0), Rick Meissen (9.0) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: With barely anything between them on price, this is one to leave alone in the 1X2 market and attack in the goals or handicap markets instead.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 22:30 on 10th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.