11th October RFS - FK JELGAVA

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• This is priced as a mismatch. Rfs is the shortest price on a book of 1.14 / 7.87 / 14.85 (1 / X / 2), an implied 81.9%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 81.9% / 11.9% / 6.3% on an overround of 7.2%.

• In the league table Rfs sit 1st on 77 points (24W 5D 2L) with Fk Jelgava 7th on 32 points (8W 8D 15L).

• Rfs read D-W-D-W-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 3D 1L) — patchy.

• Fk Jelgava read L-D-L-W-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Head to head the record reads 4-1-1 — Rfs wins, draws, then Fk Jelgava wins. Their last meeting finished Fk Jelgava - Rfs: 0-1.

• Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Rfs first, then Fk Jelgava, out of their last six: U 1.50 2 and 4.

• The read: Rfs at 1.14 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 22:30 on 10th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.