11th October MODENA - VERONA

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• Bookmakers are siding decisively with one team. Modena is the shortest price on a book of 1.91 / 3.20 / 3.80 (1 / X / 2), an implied 47.6%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 47.6% / 28.4% / 23.9% on an overround of 9.9%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.20 (28.4%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• The Asian line sits at -0.25 goals, with Modena giving the start, split 1.80 / 2.11. The handicap is the cleaner read on the expected margin here.

• In the league table Modena sit 5th on 10 points (3W 1D 1L) with Verona 7th on 7 points (2W 1D 2L).

• Modena read W-D-L-W-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.

• Verona read W-L-W-D-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Head to head the record reads 0-3-3 — Modena wins, draws, then Verona wins. Their last meeting finished Verona - Modena: 3-1.

• Verona lean hardest on Amin Sarr (9.5), Nicola Leali (9.4), Gabriele Zappa (9.1) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Modena at 1.91 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 22:30 on 10th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.