11th October SEPTEMVRI SOFIA - DUNAV RUSE

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• There is a clear but slim favourite here. Septemvri Sofia is the shortest price on a book of 2.15 / 3.20 / 3.30 (1 / X / 2), an implied 43.0%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 43.0% / 28.9% / 28.0% on an overround of 8.1%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.20 (28.9%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Septemvri Sofia sit 11th on 8 points (2W 2D 6L) with Dunav Ruse 14th on 5 points (1W 2D 7L).

• Septemvri Sofia read L-L-L-D-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Dunav Ruse read D-L-L-D-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 2D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Head to head the record reads 1-3-2 — Septemvri Sofia wins, draws, then Dunav Ruse wins. Their last meeting finished Septemvri Sofia - Dunav Ruse: 1-2.

• Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Septemvri Sofia first, then Dunav Ruse, out of their last six: HT U 1.50 6 and 5.

• The read: Septemvri Sofia at 2.15 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 22:30 on 10th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.