11th October BAHIA - MIRASSOL

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• This is priced as a mismatch. Bahia is the shortest price on a book of 1.62 / 3.75 / 4.75 (1 / X / 2), an implied 56.4%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 56.4% / 24.4% / 19.2% on an overround of 9.4%.

• In the league table Bahia sit 6th on 46 points (12W 10D 7L) with Mirassol 15th on 33 points (8W 9D 12L).

• Bahia read L-L-W-W-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (4W 0D 2L) — a strong recent run.

• Mirassol read D-W-D-W-L-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 3D 1L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 0-1-1 — Bahia wins, draws, then Mirassol wins. Their last meeting finished Mirassol - Bahia: 5-1.

• Bahia lean hardest on Ronaldo Oliveira (9.5), Nicolas Acevedo (9.1), Rodrigo Nestor (9.1) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Mirassol lean hardest on Willian Machado (9.5), Reinaldo Manoel da Silva (9.2), Igor Formiga (8.4) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Bahia at 1.62 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 22:30 on 10th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.