3rd October FORTALEZA - NAUTICO

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• This is priced as a mismatch. Fortaleza is the shortest price on a book of 1.71 / 3.50 / 5.00 (1 / X / 2), an implied 54.6%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 54.6% / 26.7% / 18.7% on an overround of 7.1%.

• In the league table Fortaleza sit 4th on 52 points (14W 10D 6L) with Nautico 14th on 41 points (11W 8D 11L).

• Fortaleza read D-W-D-W-W-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 3D 0L) — a strong recent run.

• Nautico read W-L-D-L-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 1-0-0 — Fortaleza wins, draws, then Nautico wins. Their last meeting finished Nautico - Fortaleza: 0-1.

• Fortaleza lean hardest on Joao Ricardo (9.5), Tomas Cardona (9.4), Lucas Gazal (9.4) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Nautico lean hardest on Muriel (9.5), Betao (9.4), Wenderson da Silva Costa Ferreira (9.4) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Fortaleza at 1.71 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 2nd October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.