3rd October CONNAH S QUAY NOMADS - PENYBONT

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• The market has a firm view on this one. Connah S Quay Nomads is the shortest price on a book of 1.90 / 3.38 / 3.90 (1 / X / 2), an implied 48.8%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 48.8% / 27.4% / 23.8% on an overround of 7.9%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.38 (27.4%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Connah S Quay Nomads sit 3rd on 25 points (8W 1D 2L) with Penybont 2nd on 27 points (8W 3D 0L).

• Connah S Quay Nomads read W-W-W-L-D-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (4W 1D 1L) — a strong recent run.

• Penybont read W-W-W-W-W-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (5W 1D 0L) — about as good as form gets.

• Head to head the record reads 3-1-2 — Connah S Quay Nomads wins, draws, then Penybont wins. Their last meeting finished Connah S Quay Nomads - Penybont: 2-1.

• The read: Connah S Quay Nomads at 1.90 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 2nd October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.