20th September DE GRAAFSCHAP - NAC BREDA

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• The market has a firm view on this one. Nac Breda is the shortest price on a book of 3.3 / 4.2 / 1.86 (1 / X / 2), an implied 49.8%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 28.1% / 22.1% / 49.8% on an overround of 7.9%.

• In the league table De Graafschap sit 19th on 4 points (1W 1D 4L) with Nac Breda 15th on 7 points (2W 1D 3L).

• De Graafschap read W-L-L-L-L-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 1D 4L) — poor.

• Nac Breda read L-L-D-W-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Head to head the record reads 2-2-2 — De Graafschap wins, draws, then Nac Breda wins. Their last meeting finished Nac Breda - De Graafschap: 0-0.

• Our last-six model flags 2 qualifying strikes here. Reading De Graafschap first, then Nac Breda, out of their last six: GG 5 and 5, HT GG 5 and 2.

• The read: Nac Breda at 1.86 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 19th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.