20th September KF TIRANA - ELBASANI

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• Bookmakers have this as close to a coin toss as the 1X2 market gets. Elbasani is the shortest price on a book of 2.55 / 3.14 / 2.43 (1 / X / 2), an implied 36.7%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 34.9% / 28.4% / 36.7% on an overround of 12.2%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.14 (28.4%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Kf Tirana sit 6th on 4 points (1W 1D 2L) with Elbasani 5th on 5 points (1W 2D 1L).

• Kf Tirana read D-W-L-L-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.

• Elbasani read W-L-D-D-D-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 4D 1L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 1-2-3 — Kf Tirana wins, draws, then Elbasani wins. Their last meeting finished Elbasani - Kf Tirana: 1-3.

• The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 3.14 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 19th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.