21st September NUEVA CHICAGO - PATRONATO DE PARANA

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• The market leans one way without any real conviction. Nueva Chicago is the shortest price on a book of 2.25 / 2.85 / 3.2 (1 / X / 2), an implied 40.1%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 40.1% / 31.7% / 28.2% on an overround of 10.8%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 2.85 (31.7%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Nueva Chicago sit 14th on 29 points (7W 8D 9L) with Patronato De Parana 17th on 24 points (4W 12D 8L).

• Nueva Chicago read L-L-L-L-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 0D 5L) — a badly out of sorts side.

• Patronato De Parana read L-W-D-L-D-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 3D 2L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 0-0-1 — Nueva Chicago wins, draws, then Patronato De Parana wins. Their last meeting finished Patronato De Parana - Nueva Chicago: 2-1.

• The read: Nueva Chicago at 2.25 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 20th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.