PARMA CALCIO 1913 - GENOA
There is a clear but slim favourite here. Genoa is the shortest price on a book of 3.2 / 3 / 2.45 (1 / X / 2), an implied 38.7%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 29.6% / 31.6% / 38.7% on an overround of 5.4%.
The draw is unusually well backed at 3 (31.6%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.
Liquidity is strong — €27,722 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
In the league table Parma Calcio 1913 sit 18th on 1 point (0W 1D 3L) with Genoa 19th on 1 point (0W 1D 3L).
Parma Calcio 1913 read L-D-L-L-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 1D 4L) — poor.
Genoa read D-L-L-L-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (0W 1D 5L) — a badly out of sorts side.
Head to head the record reads 0-2-2 — Parma Calcio 1913 wins, draws, then Genoa wins. Their last meeting finished Parma Calcio 1913 - Genoa: 0-0.
Our last-six model flags 2 qualifying strikes here. Reading Parma Calcio 1913 first, then Genoa, out of their last six: U 2.50 5 and 4, HT U 1.50 6 and 5.
Parma Calcio 1913 lean hardest on Lautaro Valenti (9.5), Vincent Sierro (9.4), David Romero (9.4) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Genoa lean hardest on Tommaso Baldanzi (9.5), Justin Bijlow (9.4), Leo Ostigard (8.9) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 3 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 21:30 on 19th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.