17th September JUVENTUS - NEC NIJMEGEN

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• The market expects a one-sided afternoon. Juventus is the shortest price on a book of 1.22 / 6.5 / 11 (1 / X / 2), an implied 77.0%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 77.0% / 14.5% / 8.5% on an overround of 6.4%.

• In the league table Juventus sit 26th on 0 points (0W 0D 0L) with Nec Nijmegen 11th on 0 points (0W 0D 0L).

• Juventus read L-D-W-W-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Nec Nijmegen read L-D-L-W-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 1D 4L) — poor.

• Juventus team news: Luciano Spalletti is missing Lloyd Kelly due to suspension, while Juan Cabal, Weston McKennie, Andrea Cambiaso, Jérémie Boga, Jeff Ekhator, Kenan Yıldız, Khéphren Thuram and Manuel Locatelli are all unfit.

• Juventus team news: Guglielmo Vicario is likely to start in goal, with Pierre Kalulu, Bremer, Jhon Lucumí and Zeki Çelik forming the defensive line. Juventus aim for a more composed defensive display after conceding three times in the last 25 minutes of their loss to Sassuolo.

• Nec Nijmegen team news: Dick Schreuder faces several absences. Gonzalo Crettaz is suspended and also nursing a hamstring issue, while Isak Hansen-Aarøen, Adam Tahaui, Freek Entius and Yassin Moslih are ineligible. Emre Mor, Deveron Fonville and Ahmetcan Kaplan are also out.

• Nec Nijmegen team news: Nikolas Polster is likely to start in goal, with Tobias Storm, Philippe Sandler and Almugera Kabar in front of him. NEC have not kept a clean sheet in nine matches and conceded three goals without reply at Cambuur last time out, putting considerable pressure on a reshuffled defensive lineup.

• Juventus are without 9 — Juan Cabal (Out - injured), Khéphren Thuram (Out - injured), Manuel Locatelli (Out - injured), Andrea Cambiaso (Out - injured), Jeff Ekhator (Out - injured), Kenan Yildiz (Out - injured).

• Nec Nijmegen are without 8 — Gonzalo Crettaz (Out - suspended), Freek Entius (Out - ineligible), Yassin Moslih (Out - ineligible), Deveron Fonville (Out - ineligible), Isak Hansen-Aarøen (Out - ineligible), Ahmetcan Kaplan (Out - ineligible).

• Early lineups are in: Juventus set up 4-2-3-1 against 3-4-2-1. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.

• Juventus lean hardest on Zeki Çelik (9.3), Guglielmo Vicario (9.3), Randal Kolo Muani (9.3) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Manuel Locatelli is out for Juventus — index 6.9, against 9.3 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Jérémie Boga is out for Juventus — index 6.9, against 9.3 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Nec Nijmegen lean hardest on Dusan Tadic (9.5), Noé Lebreton (9.5), Tobias Storm (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Gonzalo Crettaz is out for Nec Nijmegen — index 7.3, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Isak Hansen-Aarøen is out for Nec Nijmegen — index 6.6, against 8.7 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Adam Tahaui is out for Nec Nijmegen — index 7.8, against 8.7 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• The projected score for this one is Juventus 2 - 0 Nec Nijmegen, a home win by 2 with 2 goals in it — short of the 2.5 line.

• The read: Juventus at 1.22 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 16th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.