12th September FAKEL - BALTIKA

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• There is a clear but slim favourite here. Baltika is the shortest price on a book of 3.52 / 2.93 / 2.35 (1 / X / 2), an implied 40.5%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 27.0% / 32.5% / 40.5% on an overround of 5.1%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 2.93 (32.5%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Fakel sit 16th on 2 points (0W 2D 5L) with Baltika 7th on 10 points (3W 1D 3L).

• Fakel read L-L-D-L-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (0W 2D 4L) — poor.

• Baltika read L-W-D-L-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.

• The read: Baltika at 2.35 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 11th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.