12th September GUARANI - CERRO PORTENO

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• The market leans one way without any real conviction. Cerro Porteno is the shortest price on a book of 3.10 / 3.00 / 2.20 (1 / X / 2), an implied 40.9%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 29.0% / 30.0% / 40.9% on an overround of 11.0%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.00 (30.0%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Guarani sit 7th on 13 points (3W 4D 2L) with Cerro Porteno 8th on 13 points (4W 1D 4L).

• Guarani read W-D-D-D-L-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 4D 1L) — patchy.

• Cerro Porteno read W-W-D-L-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 1-1-3 — Guarani wins, draws, then Cerro Porteno wins. Their last meeting finished Cerro Porteno - Guarani: 0-0.

• The read: Cerro Porteno at 2.20 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 11th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.