12th September SUDTIROL - MODENA

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• The market leans one way without any real conviction. Modena is the shortest price on a book of 3.42 / 2.83 / 2.47 (1 / X / 2), an implied 38.5%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 27.8% / 33.6% / 38.5% on an overround of 5.1%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 2.83 (33.6%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Sudtirol sit 3rd on 7 points (2W 1D 0L) with Modena 7th on 6 points (2W 0D 1L).

• Sudtirol read W-D-W-D-D-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 4D 0L) — patchy.

• Modena read L-W-W-L-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 0D 3L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 2-4-0 — Sudtirol wins, draws, then Modena wins. Their last meeting finished Sudtirol - Modena: 1-1.

• Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Sudtirol first, then Modena, out of their last six: U 1.50 4 and 3.

• The read: Modena at 2.47 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 11th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.