12th September HOFFENHEIM - VFB STUTTGART

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• The market cannot separate these two. Hoffenheim is the shortest price on a book of 2.36 / 4.15 / 2.71 (1 / X / 2), an implied 41.0%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 41.0% / 23.3% / 35.7% on an overround of 3.4%.

• In the league table Hoffenheim sit 16th on 0 points (0W 0D 2L) with Vfb Stuttgart 9th on 3 points (1W 0D 1L).

• Hoffenheim read L-L-L-W-D-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Vfb Stuttgart read W-W-L-D-W-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 2D 1L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 0-4-0 — Hoffenheim wins, draws, then Vfb Stuttgart wins. Their last meeting finished Hoffenheim - Vfb Stuttgart: 3-3.

• Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Hoffenheim first, then Vfb Stuttgart, out of their last six: O 3.50 4 and 6.

• The read: With barely anything between them on price, this is one to leave alone in the 1X2 market and attack in the goals or handicap markets instead.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 11th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.