12th September BORUSSIA DORTMUND - PADERBORN

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• A heavy favourite, with the price to match. Borussia Dortmund is the shortest price on a book of 1.25 / 6.50 / 10.00 (1 / X / 2), an implied 75.9%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 75.9% / 14.6% / 9.5% on an overround of 5.4%.

• In the league table Borussia Dortmund sit 3rd on 6 points (2W 0D 0L) with Paderborn 12th on 1 point (0W 1D 1L).

• Borussia Dortmund read W-W-W-L-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (4W 0D 2L) — a strong recent run.

• Paderborn read L-D-D-D-W-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 4D 1L) — patchy.

• Borussia Dortmund lean hardest on Gregor Kobel (9.5), Serhou Guirassy (9.0), Waldemar Anton (9.0) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Borussia Dortmund at 1.25 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 11th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.