12th September AUXERRE - NICE

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• Bookmakers have this as close to a coin toss as the 1X2 market gets. Auxerre is the shortest price on a book of 2.63 / 3.3 / 2.75 (1 / X / 2), an implied 36.3%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 36.3% / 28.9% / 34.7% on an overround of 4.7%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.3 (28.9%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Auxerre sit 18th on 0 points (0W 0D 3L) with Nice 15th on 2 points (0W 2D 1L).

• Auxerre read L-L-L-W-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 0D 3L) — patchy.

• Nice read D-L-D-W-D-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 4D 1L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 3-2-1 — Auxerre wins, draws, then Nice wins. Their last meeting finished Auxerre - Nice: 2-1.

• Auxerre are without 7 — Assane Dioussé (Out - injured), Bryan Okoh (Out - injured), Marvin Senaya (Out - injured), Telli Siwe (Out - injured), Sékou Fofana (Doubtful - injured), Axel Tuanzebe (Doubtful - injured).

• Nice are without 5 — Ali Abdi (Out - injured), Moïse Bombito (Out - injured), Laurent Abergel (Out - injured), Morgan Sanson (Out - injured), Antoine Mendy (Out - injured).

• Early lineups are in: Auxerre set up 4-2-3-1 against 3-4-2-1. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.

• Nice lean hardest on Axel Witsel (7.1), Jonathan Clauss (7.1), Yéhvann Diouf (7.1) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The projected score for this one is Auxerre 1 - 1 Nice, a draw with 2 goals in it — short of the 2.5 line.

• The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 3.3 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 11th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.