12th September DERBY - BIRMINGHAM
- Sat 12:30
Derby Vs Birmingham
- Game for: 7th round of Championship
- Take Place: iPro Stadium ( 33.597 )
- Last Game: Derby - Birmingham: 1-0
- History of Games: 2-2-2
- Predicted Score: Derby 1 - 2 Birmingham
Standing
| P | Team | W | D | L | Pts | Form |
| 22 | Derby | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | LLWLDL |
| 15 | Birmingham | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | LDDWDD |
22nd (IN CHAMPIONSHIP )
- League : This is the 4th home game this season.
- Home Record : 0W - 1D - 2L
- Last Game : Derby - West Bromwich: 0-1
- Next Game : 19 Sep Burnley - Derby
15th (IN CHAMPIONSHIP )
- League : This is the 4th away game this season.
- Away Record : 1W - 1D - 1L
- Last Game : Norwich - Birmingham: 2-1
- Next Game : 19 Sep Birmingham - Middlesbrough
Probable Lineups
( 4-2-3-1 ) Derby
Birmingham ( 4-2-3-1 )
- Zetterström
- Taylor
- Cashin
- Langås
- Ward
- Ozoh
- Mowatt
- Fuseini
- Szmodics
- Clark
- Meister
- Beadle
- Cochrane
- Klarer
- Neumann
- Osayi-Samuel
- Seung-Ho
- Iwata
- Millar
- Stansfield
- Vicente
- Priske
- Player Index: how much of this team's football each player accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Injuries and Suspensions
DerbyVsBirmingham
| Player | Rating | Status |
| Carlton Morris ★ | 7.59 | Out - injured |
| Craig Forsyth | 7.03 | Out - injured |
| Patrick Agyemang | - | Out - injured |
| Derry John Murkin | - | Out - injured |
| Matt Clarke | - | Out - injured |
| Lewis Travis | 6.35 | Doubtful - injured |
| Rhian Brewster | 6.00 | Out - injured |
| Filip Bilbija | 5.93 | Out - injured |
| Player | Rating | Status |
| Jhon Solís | 6.87 | Out - injured |
| Marc Leonard | - | Out - injured |
| Taylor Gardner-Hickman | - | Out - injured |
| Demarai Gray | 6.24 | Doubtful - injured |
| Max Bird | 6.16 | Out - injured |
- Rating: season rating out of 10; players without one yet show a dash. ★ marks a player this side particularly relies on.
Team News
Rhian Brewster will be absent for the next few games due to the concussion protocol.
John Eustace may opt to start Henrik Meister and Joe Ward for the Birmingham clash.
Lewis Travis is still a doubt, while six others have been ruled out.
Demarai Gray is a doubt for the Pride Park trip after missing Wednesday's Norwich match.
Chris Davies is likely to bring Alex Cochrane in at left-back for Saturday's game.
Odds
Derby Win: 3.40
DRAW: 3.30
Birmingham Win: 2.10
Prices are indicative and sourced from a range of bookmakers, and may differ from those of any individual bookmaker.
Live Football on TV
| England | Sky Sports+ |
| Ireland | Sky Sports+ |
| Northern Ireland | Sky Sports+ |
| Scotland | Sky Sports+ |
| Wales | Sky Sports+ |
Game Analysis
A narrow edge, nothing more. Birmingham is the shortest price on a book of 3.40 / 3.30 / 2.10 (1 / X / 2), an implied 44.4%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 27.4% / 28.2% / 44.4% on an overround of 7.3%.
The draw is unusually well backed at 3.30 (28.2%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.
In the league table Derby sit 22nd on 4 points (1W 1D 4L) with Birmingham 15th on 7 points (1W 4D 1L).
Derby read L-L-W-L-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 1D 4L) — poor.
Birmingham read L-D-D-W-D-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 4D 1L) — patchy.
Head to head the record reads 2-2-2 — Derby wins, draws, then Birmingham wins. Their last meeting finished Derby - Birmingham: 1-0.
Derby team news: Rhian Brewster will be absent for the next few games due to the concussion protocol.
Derby team news: John Eustace may opt to start Henrik Meister and Joe Ward for the Birmingham clash.
Birmingham team news: Demarai Gray is a doubt for the Pride Park trip after missing Wednesday's Norwich match.
Birmingham team news: Chris Davies is likely to bring Alex Cochrane in at left-back for Saturday's game.
Derby are without 8 — Carlton Morris (Out - injured), Craig Forsyth (Out - injured), Patrick Agyemang (Out - injured), Derry John Murkin (Out - injured), Matt Clarke (Out - injured), Lewis Travis (Doubtful - injured). Of those, Carlton Morris (7.59/10) is the one this team genuinely misses.
Birmingham are without 5 — Jhon Solís (Out - injured), Marc Leonard (Out - injured), Taylor Gardner-Hickman (Out - injured), Demarai Gray (Doubtful - injured), Max Bird (Out - injured).
Early lineups are in: Derby set up 4-2-3-1 against 4-2-3-1. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.
Derby lean hardest on Charlie Taylor (8.6), Alex Mowatt (8.6), Sam Szmodics (8.6) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Rhian Brewster is out for Derby — index 7.9, against 8.9 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Birmingham lean hardest on Bright Osayi-Samuel (9.0), Phil Neumann (9.0), Tomoki Iwata (9.0) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Jhon Solís is out for Birmingham — index 7.0, against 8.6 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
The projected score for this one is Derby 1 - 2 Birmingham, an away win by 1 with 3 goals in it — on the right side of the 2.5 line.
The read: Birmingham at 2.10 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 11th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.