12th September SANTA FE - TOLIMA

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• There is a clear but slim favourite here. Santa Fe is the shortest price on a book of 2.35 / 3.10 / 3.20 (1 / X / 2), an implied 40.1%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 40.1% / 30.4% / 29.5% on an overround of 6.1%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.10 (30.4%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Santa Fe sit 7th on 10 points (2W 4D 1L) with Tolima 2nd on 16 points (5W 1D 1L).

• Santa Fe read D-D-W-D-D-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 5D 0L) — patchy.

• Tolima read W-W-L-D-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 1-3-2 — Santa Fe wins, draws, then Tolima wins. Their last meeting finished Tolima - Santa Fe: 2-2.

• Santa Fe lean hardest on Franco Fagundez (9.5), Jhojan Torres (9.3), Ivan Scarpeta (8.6) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Santa Fe at 2.35 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 11th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.