12th September GREMIO - VASCO DA GAMA

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• There is barely a price between the sides. Gremio is the shortest price on a book of 2.55 / 3.2 / 2.82 (1 / X / 2), an implied 37.0%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 37.0% / 29.5% / 33.5% on an overround of 5.9%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.2 (29.5%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Gremio sit 15th on 28 points (7W 7D 11L) with Vasco Da Gama 17th on 25 points (6W 7D 12L).

• Gremio read L-W-L-L-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 0D 4L) — poor.

• Vasco Da Gama read D-L-W-L-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Head to head the record reads 3-1-2 — Gremio wins, draws, then Vasco Da Gama wins. Their last meeting finished Gremio - Vasco Da Gama: 2-0.

• Gremio lean hardest on Everson Pereira da Silva (9.5), Filip Krovinovic (9.4), Cristian Pavon (9.4) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Vasco Da Gama lean hardest on Leo Jardim (9.5), Lucas Piton (8.9), Santiago Sosa (8.4) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 3.2 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 11th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.