15th November LEIXOES - CHAVES

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• This is priced as a comfortable favourite. Leixoes is the shortest price on a book of 1.9 / 3.4 / 3.5 (1 / X / 2), an implied 47.6%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 47.6% / 26.6% / 25.8% on an overround of 10.6%.

• In the league table Leixoes sit 12th on 11 points (3W 2D 5L) with Chaves 17th on 8 points (2W 2D 6L).

• Leixoes read D-L-L-L-D-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 2D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Chaves read L-L-W-D-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Head to head the record reads 1-4-1 — Leixoes wins, draws, then Chaves wins. Their last meeting finished Chaves - Leixoes: 1-2.

• Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Leixoes first, then Chaves, out of their last six: O 2.50 5 and 4.

• The read: Leixoes at 1.9 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 14th November 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.