15th November LEONES NEGROS - ATLETICO MORELIA

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• The market cannot separate these two. Leones Negros is the shortest price on a book of 2.58 / 3.35 / 2.68 (1 / X / 2), an implied 36.6%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 36.6% / 28.2% / 35.2% on an overround of 5.9%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.35 (28.2%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Leones Negros sit 3rd on 3 points (1W 0D 2L) with Atletico Morelia 1st on 6 points (2W 0D 0L).

• Leones Negros read L-W-L-W-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 0D 3L) — patchy.

• Atletico Morelia read W-W-W-L-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (4W 0D 2L) — a strong recent run.

• Head to head the record reads 4-0-1 — Leones Negros wins, draws, then Atletico Morelia wins. Their last meeting finished Atletico Morelia - Leones Negros: 1-0.

• The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 3.35 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 14th November 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.