15th November FRANCE - TURKIYE

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• A heavy favourite, with the price to match. France is the shortest price on a book of 1.25 / 6.70 / 11.26 (1 / X / 2), an implied 77.1%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 77.1% / 14.4% / 8.6% on an overround of 3.8%.

• France team news: Before the match against Italy, Aurelien Tchouameni and Marcus Thuram exited the France squad.

• France team news: A knock kept Kylian Mbappe out of the Italy game, and he may not be fit for Sunday's fixture.

• Turkiye team news: Abdülkerim Bardakci has completed his suspension, but Ozan Kabak will miss the game after picking up too many yellow cards.

• Turkiye team news: Hakan Çalhanoglu, Zeki Celik and Can Uzun may all return for the away match in France.

• France are without 12 — Jules Koundé (Out - injured), Désiré Doué (Doubtful - injured), Kylian Mbappé (Doubtful - injured), Maxence Lacroix (Out - injured), Pierre Kalulu (Out - injured), Ousmane Dembélé (Out - injured). Losing Jules Koundé (7.44/10) and Désiré Doué (7.42/10) is the kind of absence that moves a price.

• Turkiye are without 5 — Aral Simsir (Out - injured), Adil Demirbag (Out - injured), Kenan Yildiz (Out - injured), Mert Müldür (Out - injured), Ozan Kabak (Out - suspended). Losing Aral Simsir (6.97/10) is the kind of absence that moves a price.

• Early lineups are in: France set up 4-2-3-1 against 4-2-3-1. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.

• France lean hardest on Eduardo Camavinga (9.5), Michael Olise (9.5), Rayan Cherki (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Jules Koundé is out for France — index 7.7, against 8.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Désiré Doué is out for France — index 9.5, against 8.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Noticeable.

• Kylian Mbappé is out for France — index 6.5, against 8.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Maxence Lacroix is out for France — index 7.5, against 8.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Pierre Kalulu is out for France — index 7.8, against 8.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Ousmane Dembélé is out for France — index 7.2, against 8.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Maghnes Akliouche is out for France — index 6.9, against 8.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Esteban Lepaul is out for France — index 7.1, against 8.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Turkiye lean hardest on Ugurcan Çakir (8.9), Ismail Yüksek (8.8), Abdülkerim Bardakci (8.7) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Aral Simsir is out for Turkiye — index 6.2, against 8.6 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Ozan Kabak is out for Turkiye — index 7.9, against 9.1 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• The projected score for this one is France 3 - 0 Turkiye, a home win by 3 with 3 goals in it — on the right side of the 2.5 line.

• The read: France at 1.25 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 14th November 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.