15th November BELGIUM - ITALY

Prices are indicative and sourced from a range of bookmakers, and may differ from those of any individual bookmaker.

Open an account with Bet365

• There is a clear but slim favourite here. Belgium is the shortest price on a book of 2.19 / 3.89 / 3.16 (1 / X / 2), an implied 44.3%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 44.3% / 25.0% / 30.7% on an overround of 3.0%.

• Belgium team news: Romeo Lavia has completed his one-game ban and is now eligible for selection this coming matchweek.

• Belgium team news: Romelu Lukaku did not feature against Türkiye due to a hip issue and is still considered uncertain for the match versus Italy.

• Italy team news: Roberto Mancini could name an unchanged starting line-up for this decisive final group-stage encounter.

• Italy team news: Italy will be without four first-choice players for Sunday’s trip to Belgium.

• Belgium are without 3 — Amadou Onana (Out - injured), Romelu Lukaku (Doubtful - injured), Loïs Openda (Out - injured).

• Italy are without 4 — Matteo Ruggeri (Out - injured), Giacomo Raspadori (Out - injured), Giovanni Di Lorenzo (Out - injured), Mohamed Alì Zoma (Out - injured).

• Early lineups are in: Belgium set up 4-2-3-1 against 4-3-3. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.

• Belgium lean hardest on Timothy Castagne (9.5), Dodi Lukébakio (9.5), Brandon Mechele (9.0) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Romelu Lukaku is out for Belgium — index 7.3, against 8.3 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Italy lean hardest on Nicolò Barella (9.0), Gianluigi Donnarumma (9.0), Sandro Tonali (9.0) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Matteo Ruggeri is out for Italy — index 7.2, against 8.1 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Giacomo Raspadori is out for Italy — index 5.5, against 8.4 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Giovanni Di Lorenzo is out for Italy — index 6.6, against 8.1 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• The projected score for this one is Belgium 2 - 2 Italy, a draw with 4 goals in it — on the right side of the 2.5 line.

• The read: Belgium at 2.19 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 14th November 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.